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Archive for January 2009

Pounds To Dollars – January 30th 2009

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Friday, January 30th, 2009
Pounds To Dollars - Daily Candle Chart January 30th 2009

Pounds To Dollars - Daily Candle Chart January 30th 2009

Talk about inching higher! The pounds to dollars currency pair is crawling it’s way up at the moment, in ever smaller steps, and yesterday was no exception with another up day, but only just, finishing with a long legged doji, which as I’m sure you know by now, is hardly an endorsement to the move! The doji signifies indecision in the market which just about sums up the current situation for the GBP/USD pair with the UK pound holding up better than many other currencies, as analysts and the market re-consider whether the pound is indeed the basket case everyone thought. The comments by the ECB regarding the long term outlook for the UK economy will not have helped, and despite Gordon Brown’s attempt to save the world none of the great and the ( less good ) in Davos, have a clue what to do!  Yesterday’s candle crossed the 14 day moving average, but with significant resistance ahead at 1.4500, the move will need to breakthrough this region to advance further. My suggestions for today would be to attempt small long positions with stops below 1.4125, but the move looks suspiciously as though it could be rolling over as it approaches the resistance level, so be careful.

On the fundamental front the main news today is in the US with the release of the advance GDP figures, due to be released at 1.30 pm UK time. These will move the currency pair, so trade with care and my suggestion would be to take any profits off the table before the news, and to re-enter later. Have a great weekend and as always good luck with your trading.

The short term outlook is bullish, the medium and long term are sideways

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Categories : Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart
Tags : Advance GDP US, dollar pound pair, dollar to pound, GBP/USD, GBP/USD chart January, pound dollar, pound sterling, Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart

Pounds To Dollars – January 29th 2009

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Thursday, January 29th, 2009
Pounds To Dollars Candle Chart - January 29th 2009

Pounds To Dollars Candle Chart - January 29th 2009

Yesterday we saw a small doji candle formed for the pounds to dollars pair,  following the FOMC and FED Funds Rate news yesterday evening. Despite this, the short term trend is still upwards and if you are scalping or intra day trading then the strategy is to try small long positions, with stops below at around 1.3750 or deeper. The key point will come when the pair reach the resistance level at 1.440o and above. If this is breached then expect a significant move higher. The candle yesterday crossed the 9 day moving average but not the 14 day, so not a strong signal, but a signal nevertheless. From the shape of the candle pattern, this move could be rolling over. As always we have to wait and see for any confirmation signals later today. The major fundamental news is being released in the US this afternoon and details can be found by following the link to the euro to dollar site. This morning the Nationwide released it’s HPI ( House Price Index )  with figures coming in at -1.3% against a forecast of  -1.8%, so beating analysts expectations. This is a leading indicator of the housing market ( if any were needed!) and is based on the change in selling prices for homes backed by a Nationwide mortgage, so the figures were not as bad as expected.

The short term outlook is bullish, medium term sideways, and long term bearish.

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Categories : Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart
Tags : dollar pound pair, dollar to pound, GBP/USD, GBP/USD chart January, House Price Index, Nationewide House Price Index, pound dollar rate, pound sterling, Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart

Pounds To Dollars Today – 28th January 2009

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Wednesday, January 28th, 2009
Pounds To Dollars Today - Daily Chart January 28th 2009

Pounds To Dollars Today - Daily Chart January 28th 2009

The bullish engulfing candle we discussed on Monday, was indeed confirmed yesterday, with a further move up and a nice wide bar, and as of this morning, the trend is continuing, with the 9 day moving average having been breached and the 14 day average now firmly on the horizon. The main issue of course is the strong resistance at the 1.4500 region, and for any move to continue, we need to see this area penetrated. My suggested strategy for today is therefore to attempt small long positions, but with stops carefully placed, probably in the 1.3700 – 13750 region in case of any sharp pullback. This might come on the back of any news from the FED funds rates and FOMC minutes, due for release later today in the US – details of this can be found at the euro to dollar site.

The short term is bullish, the medium to long term is bearish

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Categories : Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart
Tags : dollar pound pair, dollar to pound, forex trading, GBP/USD, GBP/USD chart January, pound dollar rate, pound sterling, Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart

Pound To Dollars – January 27th 2009

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Tuesday, January 27th, 2009
Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart - January 27th 2009

Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart - January 27th 2009

Yesterday’s daily candlestick on the pound dollar currency pair was interesting for two reasons. Firstly the market opened gapped down in the morning, indicating a possible move lower, and secondly the up candle which subsequently formed now provides a bullish engulfing signal for that of Friday. Following on from the three consecutive dojis candles ( indecision in the markets and therefore possible turning points), all of which could be classified as hammers, it was no surprise to see the pound dollar currency pair rise yesterday, after the UK economy and the pound in particular had been written off by so many people. Whilst the longer term trend is still bearish, there is an opportunity for long trades, based on the signals of the last few days, so my suggestion would be to try small longs with stops below the 1.35 support level which has been created in the last few days. If prices do break above 1.40, then look for a move back to test resistance at 1.4450, a strong level which will need considerable effort to be penetrated.

The CBI realized data released at 11.oo this morning fell below analaysts expectations at -47, the forecast having been for -53 against a previous of -55. This is an indicator which surveys retailers on their relative levels of sales voulme and therefore provides a view of consumer spending and sentiment. A figure above 0 indicates higher sales volumes and below 0 shows lower sales. The news this morning could therefore be considered slightly more positive than expected since the fall was less than forecast. The GBP/USD rose on the news only to fall back almost immeditely weighed down with the broader economic problems.

The short term outlook is bullish, with the medium to long term bearish.

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Categories : Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart
Tags : Bullish engulfing, cable, dollar pound pair, dollar to pound, forex trading, fx trades, fx trading, GBP/USD, GBP/USD chart January, pound dollar rate, Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart

GBP/USD Currency Charts – January 26th 2009

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Monday, January 26th, 2009
GBP/USD Weekly Candle Chart - January 26th 2009

GBP/USD Weekly Candle Chart - January 26th 2009

As it’s the start of a new week, let’s begin with the pound dollar weekly chart and see what we conclusions we can draw from looking at a longer time frame, and remember to use the long timescales for your direction, and the shorter time frames for you entry and exit points. In virtually all our trading we are either looking for confirmation signals of a move, or alternatively we are looking for turning points which may be signaling a change in direction. The key areas I would highlight would be as follows. Firstly note the classic turning point of three candles, and up bar, followed by a shooting star, and finally a down bar, which confirms the direction. Since November we have had a long period of consolidation, with resistance being created at the 1.4500 region, and resistance at the 1.5300 area. The down candle of last week confirmed the breakout to the downside with the support level of 1.4500 now becoming resistance to any move back up. All the moving averages are intact and we now need to wait for further signals to confirm the bearish momentum.

GBP/USD Daily Candle Chart - January 26th 2009

GBP/USD Daily Candle Chart - January 26th 2009

Now let’s look at the daily chart. The pound dollar currency has many similarities to the euro dollar pair at the moment which makes it extremely difficult to trade in the short term. Following a long period of consolidation from November to the middle of last week, the GBP/USD currency pair traded in a range between 1.55 and 1.45, a level which was finally breached last week with a sustained breakout to the downside on Tuesday, which was subsequently followed by three doji candles. On the daily chart, and of particular significance is Friday’s candle, a hammer, which suggests a possible reversal in prices in the short term. The 9 day and 14 day averages have crossed and the 40 day moving average is turning lower. For intra day traders attempt small long trades.

The short term outlook is sideways, with the medium to long term bearish.

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Categories : Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart

Are We Heading For A Sterling Crisis ?

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Sunday, January 25th, 2009
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Categories : Pounds To Dollars Videos
Tags : dollar to pound, pound sterling, pounds collapse, Pounds To Dollars Daily Chart, sterling crisis, sterlingn in crisis, UK pounds, UK sterling in crisis
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